Secret Hitler Probability Tables
Role Probabilities
Policy Card Draw Probabilities
| Player Count | Liberal Count | Fascist Count | Hitler Count | P(Liberal) | P(Fascist) | P(Hitler) | P(Hitler | Fascist) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 60% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 66.67% | 16.67% | 16.67% | 50% |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 57.14% | 28.57% | 14.29% | 33.33% |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 62.5% | 25% | 12.5% | 33.33% |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 55.56% | 33.33% | 11.11% | 25% |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 60% | 30% | 10% | 25% |
| Fascist Cards | Liberal Cards | Total Cards | P(FFF) | P(FFL) | P(FLL) | P(LLL) | ∃xP(L) | P(F Top Card) | P(L Top Card) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | 17 | 24.26% | 48.53% | 24.26% | 2.94% | 75.74% | 64.71% | 35.29% |
| 11 | 5 | 16 | 29.46% | 49.11% | 19.64% | 1.79% | 70.54% | 68.75% | 31.25% |
| 10 | 6 | 16 | 21.43% | 48.21% | 26.79% | 3.57% | 78.57% | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| 11 | 4 | 15 | 36.26% | 48.35% | 14.51% | 0.88% | 63.74% | 73.33% | 26.67% |
| 10 | 5 | 15 | 26.37% | 49.45% | 21.98% | 2.2% | 73.63% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| 9 | 6 | 15 | 18.46% | 47.47% | 29.67% | 4.4% | 81.54% | 60% | 40% |
| 11 | 3 | 14 | 45.33% | 45.33% | 9.07% | 0.27% | 54.67% | 78.57% | 21.43% |
| 10 | 4 | 14 | 32.97% | 49.45% | 16.48% | 1.1% | 67.03% | 71.43% | 28.57% |
| 9 | 5 | 14 | 23.08% | 49.45% | 24.73% | 2.75% | 76.92% | 64.29% | 35.71% |
| 8 | 6 | 14 | 15.38% | 46.15% | 32.97% | 5.49% | 84.62% | 57.14% | 42.86% |
| 11 | 2 | 13 | 57.69% | 38.46% | 3.85% | 0% | 42.31% | 84.62% | 15.38% |
| 10 | 3 | 13 | 41.96% | 47.2% | 10.49% | 0.35% | 58.04% | 76.92% | 23.08% |
| 9 | 4 | 13 | 29.37% | 50.35% | 18.88% | 1.4% | 70.63% | 69.23% | 30.77% |
| 8 | 5 | 13 | 19.58% | 48.95% | 27.97% | 3.5% | 80.42% | 61.54% | 38.46% |
| 7 | 6 | 13 | 12.24% | 44.06% | 36.71% | 6.99% | 87.76% | 53.85% | 46.15% |
| 11 | 1 | 12 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 91.67% | 8.33% |
| 10 | 2 | 12 | 54.55% | 40.91% | 4.55% | 0% | 45.45% | 83.33% | 16.67% |
| 9 | 3 | 12 | 38.18% | 49.09% | 12.27% | 0.45% | 61.82% | 75% | 25% |
| 8 | 4 | 12 | 25.45% | 50.91% | 21.82% | 1.82% | 74.55% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| 7 | 5 | 12 | 15.91% | 47.73% | 31.82% | 4.55% | 84.09% | 58.33% | 41.67% |
| 6 | 6 | 12 | 9.09% | 40.91% | 40.91% | 9.09% | 90.91% | 50% | 50% |
| 11 | 0 | 11 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 72.73% | 27.27% | 0% | 0% | 27.27% | 90.91% | 9.09% |
| 9 | 2 | 11 | 50.91% | 43.64% | 5.45% | 0% | 49.09% | 81.82% | 18.18% |
| 8 | 3 | 11 | 33.94% | 50.91% | 14.55% | 0.61% | 66.06% | 72.73% | 27.27% |
| 7 | 4 | 11 | 21.21% | 50.91% | 25.45% | 2.42% | 78.79% | 63.64% | 36.36% |
| 6 | 5 | 11 | 12.12% | 45.45% | 36.36% | 6.06% | 87.88% | 54.55% | 45.45% |
| 5 | 6 | 11 | 6.06% | 36.36% | 45.45% | 12.12% | 93.94% | 45.45% | 54.55% |
| 10 | 0 | 10 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 9 | 1 | 10 | 70% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 8 | 2 | 10 | 46.67% | 46.67% | 6.67% | 0% | 53.33% | 80% | 20% |
| 7 | 3 | 10 | 29.17% | 52.5% | 17.5% | 0.83% | 70.83% | 70% | 30% |
| 6 | 4 | 10 | 16.67% | 50% | 30% | 3.33% | 83.33% | 60% | 40% |
| 5 | 5 | 10 | 8.33% | 41.67% | 41.67% | 8.33% | 91.67% | 50% | 50% |
| 4 | 6 | 10 | 3.33% | 30% | 50% | 16.67% | 96.67% | 40% | 60% |
| 9 | 0 | 9 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 8 | 1 | 9 | 66.67% | 33.33% | 0% | 0% | 33.33% | 88.89% | 11.11% |
| 7 | 2 | 9 | 41.67% | 50% | 8.33% | 0% | 58.33% | 77.78% | 22.22% |
| 6 | 3 | 9 | 23.81% | 53.57% | 21.43% | 1.19% | 76.19% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| 5 | 4 | 9 | 11.9% | 47.62% | 35.71% | 4.76% | 88.1% | 55.56% | 44.44% |
| 4 | 5 | 9 | 4.76% | 35.71% | 47.62% | 11.9% | 95.24% | 44.44% | 55.56% |
| 3 | 6 | 9 | 1.19% | 21.43% | 53.57% | 23.81% | 98.81% | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 8 | 0 | 8 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 7 | 1 | 8 | 62.5% | 37.5% | 0% | 0% | 37.5% | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| 6 | 2 | 8 | 35.71% | 53.57% | 10.71% | 0% | 64.29% | 75% | 25% |
| 5 | 3 | 8 | 17.86% | 53.57% | 26.79% | 1.79% | 82.14% | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| 4 | 4 | 8 | 7.14% | 42.86% | 42.86% | 7.14% | 92.86% | 50% | 50% |
| 3 | 5 | 8 | 1.79% | 26.79% | 53.57% | 17.86% | 98.21% | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 0% | 10.71% | 53.57% | 35.71% | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 7 | 0 | 7 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 6 | 1 | 7 | 57.14% | 42.86% | 0% | 0% | 42.86% | 85.71% | 14.29% |
| 5 | 2 | 7 | 28.57% | 57.14% | 14.29% | 0% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 28.57% |
| 4 | 3 | 7 | 11.43% | 51.43% | 34.29% | 2.86% | 88.57% | 57.14% | 42.86% |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 2.86% | 34.29% | 51.43% | 11.43% | 97.14% | 42.86% | 57.14% |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 14.29% | 57.14% | 28.57% | 100% | 28.57% | 71.43% |
| 1 | 6 | 7 | 0% | 0% | 42.86% | 57.14% | 100% | 14.29% | 85.71% |
| 6 | 0 | 6 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 5 | 1 | 6 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 83.33% | 16.67% |
| 4 | 2 | 6 | 20% | 60% | 20% | 0% | 80% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 5% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 95% | 50% | 50% |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 20% | 60% | 20% | 100% | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 1 | 5 | 6 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 16.67% | 83.33% |
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| 5 | 0 | 5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4 | 1 | 5 | 40% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 80% | 20% |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | 10% | 60% | 30% | 0% | 90% | 60% | 40% |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 30% | 60% | 10% | 100% | 40% | 60% |
| 1 | 4 | 5 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 40% | 100% | 20% | 80% |
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 25% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 75% | 25% |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 25% | 100% | 25% | 75% |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% |